According to Cas Abbé, if inflation re-accelerates in early 2026 due to tariffs and supply pressures, the Federal Reserve could be forced to pause or even hike rates again, creating a hawkish pivot risk window for crypto markets (source: Cas Abbé, X/Twitter, 2025-09-07). He adds that such a shift would strengthen the US dollar and slow liquidity, conditions that often align with crypto cycle peaks (source: Cas Abbé, X/Twitter, 2025-09-07). Trading takeaway: monitor inflation momentum into early 2026, tariff-driven supply pressures, Fed policy stance, dollar strength, and liquidity trends as potential signals of cycle-top risk in crypto, per Abbé’s assessment (source: Cas Abbé, X/Twitter, 2025-09-07).